The US election will take place in November 2024, in what will no doubt be a media circus of politics between a clown and a very old adult. It is a political rematch that nobody wants nor sees any benefit from. However, there is the exciting opportunity to bet on state voting results through political betting sites – potentially leaving the process with extra money in your pocket from the Maryland vote.
Democratic History
Maryland is considered one of the safer seats for Democratic votes. Since 1988, it has consistently held a majority for the Blue Party. Maryland voted against winning Republican presidents like George W. Bush and Donald Trump. However, who can blame them for the latter choice?
Maryland Thoroughly Dislikes Trump
This will be Donald Trump’s third US election campaign; in the last two, he had very little success in Maryland. In the 2016 election, despite winning the vote nationally, Trump managed to reduce the Republican vote from Mitt Romney’s woeful 35% of the state vote to a laughable 33%. Unsurprisingly, he decreased the share to 32% in 2020 after a polarising term. Whether or not Joe Biden is popular now, it is improbable that the people of Maryland will get behind Trump. The Economist publication has gone as far as to say that Biden is ‘almost certainly’ going to win the vote in Maryland.
There are many reasons why people might not like Trump, including serious allegations, convictions, and general political activity. However, Maryland has some specific gripes with the former president. He once called Baltimore a ‘rodent-infested mess’ while calling a particular part of the city ‘dangerous and filthy’. People from the area have the right to take Umbridge with such comments.
He was also critical of the famous representative of Maryland, Elijah Cummings, who had served the state in multiple capacities from 1983 to 2019 when his untimely death. Trump’s comments against Cummings did little more than galvanize their disdain for the Republican and it's a key consideration for the
political betting sites for the US election when it comes to setting the overall odds for the winner.
Betting Markets from the Maryland Vote
The most immediate market for the Maryland vote is the result. It's straightforward: pick a winner, and if it’s right, you win. The only problem here is that Maryland’s result is almost inevitable. Biden will win because it’s a blue state, and Trump has never done well here. It’s the equivalent of a top soccer team like Leeds United playing a bunch of amateurs from a remote island… Leeds would trounce them. Of course, you can back the underdog and if, by some miracle, they win, you’ll get a significant return, but the chances of that happening are very slim.
Sites Offering More Markets
It would be best to remember that online casinos and betting platforms don’t typically take bets on political events. Bettors usually prefer to gamble on sporting event results or casino games. Therefore, your preferred website or brand might not automatically have that many markets for the US election. Depending on their level of interest in the event, they may add more markets the closer we get to November 2024.
Additional markets might include guessing each candidate's winning margin or percentage of the vote share. For example, if you think Trump will continue to lose popularity in the state, you could opt for a bet that he earns less than 32% of the vote.
Betting on the Wider Election
While Maryland is an absorbing state, you could look beyond the state limits and vote on a more extensive set of results. Many mainstream betting sites are taking bets on the overall winner of the US election. You can back either Donald Trump or Joe Biden to win the election in totality and potentially win some money in the process.
If you think Biden will win, then it could be a good time to bet on him to do so (end of June 2024). The media is universally scathing about his performance in the first presidential debate due to some unusual answers that left viewers concerned and confused.
Given that Trump is the favourite right now, you can back him to win the election; however, the returns might not be so big. Or, if you’re a fan of throwing your money down the drain, you could always back a third party; however, the last time that a single third party earned more than 5% of the popular vote was in 1992.
