A disturbance near the Bahamas and Cuba that was expected to threaten South Florida has remained disorganized. While this is good news, this system still has a chance of developing into a tropical storm as it moves into the Gulf of Mexico. Gusty winds and heavy downpours will occur through South Florida as the system slides to the south over the weekend. Computer models have struggled with this system over the last several days but they continue to show more favorable development later in the weekend. It if develops, it will take on the name Hermine.
It has been a long time since a hurricane has struck the Florida coastline. The last hurricane to strike Florida was Hurricane Wilma back in 2005, over 10 years ago.
Computer models show disturbance tracking South of Florida and then into the Gulf of Mexico.
Most Computer models show Hermine staying below hurricane strength through the weekend
